2026 NFL Draft Tiers
Data: Fantasy Football Calculator + Sleeper · ADP from 4,299 real drafts (2026-07-27 to 2026-08-03)
Last updated · 2026 season
Data + Analysis Rankings, ADP and injury status come straight from the data feeds and are never altered. The tiers, tier labels and player takes are our analysis (written by grok-4.5) over that real data — grouping and commentary, never a changed number.
Tiny ADP gap (1.6-2.0) locks Gibbs and Bijan as the clear top tier; both are young workhorses drafted at the absolute top of the board ahead of a noticeable jump.
- RB1 Jahmyr Gibbs Questionable DET · ADP 1.6 Questionable tag on the top pick is real risk—don't autopilot him first overall without a backup plan.
- RB2 Bijan Robinson ATL · ADP 2.0 Workhorse role in Atlanta makes him the cleanest high-end RB bet if you slide off Gibbs.
CMC-JT-Achane cluster (5.2-9.5) after a 3+ ADP gap; proven high-volume or explosive backs still going late first round before the next separation.
- RB3 Christian McCaffrey SF · ADP 5.2 Nine-year vet healthy again means elite floor, but the mileage always lurks in drafts.
- RB4 Jonathan Taylor IND · ADP 7.5 Colts feature back with a late bye is pure bellcow value right where he's going.
- RB5 De'Von Achane MIA · ADP 9.5 Speed demon in Miami still has the juice; buy the efficiency even in a committee.
Brown-Jeanty-Cook-Henry tightly packed (13-16) after a clear gap from Achane; ascending or reliable early-down options with defined roles.
- RB6 Chase Brown CIN · ADP 13.1 Bengals backfield lead after the leap; three years in and the job is his.
- RB7 Ashton Jeanty LV · ADP 13.4 Raiders rookie handed the keys early; first-year workload risk is priced into the ADP.
- RB8 James Cook BUF · ADP 15.0 Bills lead back thrives in that scheme—steady RB2 with upside if the passing game clicks.
- RB9 Derrick Henry BAL · ADP 15.8 Ten-year grinder in Baltimore still pounds between the tackles—fade the age talk.
Barkley and Hampton (18-20) sit after a modest jump; still strong every-week starters but consensus drops them just behind the prior group.
- RB10 Saquon Barkley PHI · ADP 18.4 Eagles workhorse coming off the monster year—expect another heavy workload if healthy.
- RB11 Omarion Hampton LAC · ADP 19.7 Chargers rookie with a clear path; early ADP climb reflects real opportunity, not hype.
Large 4.8 ADP gap after Hampton to the Love-Jacobs-Walker-Hall cluster (24-28); these form a clear mid-RB2 tier of established or high-upside backs.
- RB12 Jeremiyah Love ARI · ADP 24.5 Zero experience and already RB12 ADP screams lottery ticket—only swing if you like the upside.
- RB13 Josh Jacobs GB · ADP 24.7
- RB14 Kenneth Walker KC · ADP 26.3
- RB15 Breece Hall NYJ · ADP 27.9
4+ ADP jump to Skattebo-Kyren then Javonte-Etienne (32-37); starting potential remains but more committee risk or lesser workloads.
- RB16 Cam Skattebo NYG · ADP 32.2
- RB17 Kyren Williams LAR · ADP 32.3
- RB18 Javonte Williams DAL · ADP 35.5
- RB19 Travis Etienne NO · ADP 36.6
Bigger gap to Bucky then Swift-Judkins (42-49); flex-solid backs with path to bigger roles, drafted as mid-round RB3s.
- RB20 Bucky Irving TB · ADP 42.3
- RB21 D'Andre Swift CHI · ADP 45.2
- RB22 Quinshon Judkins CLE · ADP 49.1
Tuten-Henderson (53-56) after another 4+ gap; rookies or change-of-pace options with starter upside if opportunities open.
- RB23 Bhayshul Tuten JAX · ADP 53.6
- RB24 TreVeyon Henderson NE · ADP 56.0
5.6 ADP jump into Montgomery-Pollard-Price-Warren (61-65.5); reliable but limited-ceiling veterans clustered as late flex plays.
- RB25 David Montgomery HOU · ADP 61.6
- RB26 Tony Pollard TEN · ADP 63.0
- RB27 Jadarian Price SEA · ADP 65.5
- RB28 Jaylen Warren PIT · ADP 65.5
Clear 6+ gap to Stevenson-Dowdle-Hubbard (72-76); deeper roster pieces or committee backs with modest weekly floors.
- RB29 Rhamondre Stevenson NE · ADP 72.0
- RB30 Rico Dowdle PIT · ADP 74.4
- RB31 Chuba Hubbard CAR · ADP 75.8
Large 10+ ADP chasm to Harvey through White (86-99); mix of rookies, backups and aging vets offering stash upside only.
- RB32 RJ Harvey DEN · ADP 86.5
- RB33 J.K. Dobbins DEN · ADP 90.6
- RB34 Kenny Gainwell TB · ADP 90.8
- RB35 Aaron Jones MIN · ADP 93.2
- RB36 Kyle Monangai CHI · ADP 98.7
- RB37 Rachaad White WAS · ADP 99.4
Massive 15-point ADP gap to Croskey-Merritt-Corum-Brooks (114+); end-of-draft flier territory with minimal immediate expectation.
- RB38 Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS · ADP 114.4
- RB39 Blake Corum LAR · ADP 118.4
- RB40 Jonathon Brooks CAR · ADP 118.7
Tight cluster of proven high-volume alphas all drafted inside the top 8 overall (ADP 2.7-7.4). Clear separation before the next group starts at 10.8; these are the non-negotiable early first-round cornerstones.
- WR1 Puka Nacua LAR · ADP 2.7 Stafford's security blanket stays locked in as the clear alpha; take the volume and run.
- WR2 Ja'Marr Chase CIN · ADP 4.0 Burrow's favorite target still carries true WR1 upside—fade the slight ADP slip at your peril.
- WR3 Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA · ADP 6.0 Seattle's emerging WR1 has the route tree and trust to hold this range easily.
- WR4 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET · ADP 7.4 Detroit's chain-mover keeps producing regardless of who else shares targets—safe as they come.
Strong WR1 cohort (ADP 10.8-17.1) with only minor internal gaps. Distinct 4-point ADP jump after A.J. Brown creates the break from the true elites above and the next tier below.
- WR5 Drake London ATL · ADP 10.8 Atlanta's top target finally gets the full look—ascending WR you can trust weekly.
- WR6 CeeDee Lamb DAL · ADP 11.4 Cowboys alpha remains the focal point; late-season bye is the only real knock.
- WR7 Justin Jefferson MIN · ADP 13.3 Still the purest separator in the league—Minnesota's offense runs through him first.
- WR8 Rashee Rice KC · ADP 15.3 Chiefs slot weapon healthy and ready; Mahomes elevates him right back into WR2 range.
- WR9 A.J. Brown NE · ADP 17.1 New England landing spot changes little; proven WR1 talent travels wherever he lines up.
Olave-Pickens-Collins form a tight pocket (21.1-23.5) of every-week starters. 3.5-point gap after Nico Collins separates them from the mid-round WR2 pack.
- WR10 Chris Olave NO · ADP 21.1 Saints need a go-to receiver and he's it—volume should bounce back clean.
- WR11 George Pickens DAL · ADP 21.2 Dallas WR room now has two mouths; his big-play role still justifies the cost.
- WR12 Nico Collins HOU · ADP 23.5 Houston's deep threat stays the clear top option—buy the consistency over flash.
Flowers-Wilson-Smith sit in a narrow 27-28.8 band as locked-in WR2s. Large 4.9-point ADP gap afterward marks the drop into higher-variance upside picks.
- WR13 Zay Flowers BAL · ADP 27.0
- WR14 Garrett Wilson NYJ · ADP 28.1
- WR15 DeVonta Smith PHI · ADP 28.8
Continuous run from rookie/second-year breakouts through established names (33.7-43.1). Includes Nabers' questionable tag but ADP still groups him here; 3.9-point gap after McConkey ends the tier.
- WR16 Tetairoa McMillan CAR · ADP 33.7
- WR17 Emeka Egbuka TB · ADP 35.6
- WR18 Malik Nabers Questionable NYG · ADP 38.3
- WR19 Tee Higgins CIN · ADP 38.6
- WR20 Davante Adams LAR · ADP 41.2
- WR21 Terry McLaurin WAS · ADP 42.5
- WR22 Ladd McConkey LAC · ADP 43.1
Williams and Waddle form a small pair (47-48.4) of explosive but slightly less consistent producers. Clear gaps on both sides isolate them.
- WR23 Jameson Williams DET · ADP 47.0
- WR24 Jaylen Waddle DEN · ADP 48.4
Odunze and Burden (51.8-52.9) are back-to-back second-year/rookie talents with similar ADP and upside profiles. 3.9-point jump afterward drops into veteran depth.
- WR25 Rome Odunze CHI · ADP 51.8
- WR26 Luther Burden CHI · ADP 52.9
Broad but coherent band of experienced producers (56.8-67.2) including Pierce on PUP. Internal gaps stay under 3 points until the 4.5-point chasm after Watson.
- WR27 DJ Moore BUF · ADP 56.8
- WR28 Mike Evans SF · ADP 59.4
- WR29 Alec Pierce PUP IND · ADP 60.4
- WR30 Courtland Sutton DEN · ADP 62.8
- WR31 Marvin Harrison ARI · ADP 64.4
- WR32 DK Metcalf PIT · ADP 65.2
- WR33 Christian Watson GB · ADP 67.2
Pittman through Meyers (71.7-78.6) offer usable depth with modest ceilings. 4.3-point gap before the final pair creates the break.
- WR34 Michael Pittman PIT · ADP 71.7
- WR35 Carnell Tate TEN · ADP 74.4
- WR36 Wan'Dale Robinson TEN · ADP 74.6
- WR37 Parker Washington JAX · ADP 76.7
- WR38 Jakobi Meyers JAX · ADP 78.6
Thomas and Tyson (82.9-83.9) are the last names on the board; drafted only after a clear ADP separation and carry the highest variance.
- WR39 Brian Thomas JAX · ADP 82.9
- WR40 Jordyn Tyson NO · ADP 83.9
Massive 24-point ADP gap to everyone else; undisputed top dual-threat option with unmatched ceiling and floor.
- QB1 Josh Allen BUF · ADP 26.6
Tight 50-56 ADP cluster separated by double-digit gap from next group; high-upside young arms and proven stars locked in as weekly starters.
- QB2 Drake Maye NE · ADP 50.6
- QB3 Lamar Jackson BAL · ADP 53.9
- QB4 Joe Burrow CIN · ADP 56.0
66-76 ADP band with consistent 4-5 point gaps; reliable volume and rushing upside keep them ahead of the next drop-off.
- QB5 Dak Prescott DAL · ADP 66.4
- QB6 Jayden Daniels WAS · ADP 71.4
- QB7 Jalen Hurts PHI · ADP 75.9
81-89 ADP grouping after another clear gap; strong supporting casts and proven efficiency but slightly lower ceilings than the tier above.
- QB8 Brock Purdy SF · ADP 81.0
- QB9 Matthew Stafford LAR · ADP 86.8
- QB10 Trevor Lawrence JAX · ADP 89.3
Isolated by ~10-point gaps on both sides plus Questionable tag; still carries elite pedigree but draft cost reflects injury risk.
- QB11 Patrick Mahomes Questionable KC · ADP 98.9
Extremely tight 104-106 ADP pack after Mahomes; mix of veterans and young starters with similar expected workloads and upside.
- QB12 Jared Goff DET · ADP 103.9
- QB13 Caleb Williams CHI · ADP 104.1
- QB14 Jaxson Dart NYG · ADP 104.6
- QB15 Justin Herbert LAC · ADP 105.6
15-point gap from prior group then 8-point internal spread; viable starters with rushing or volume paths but clearer drop in ADP confidence.
- QB16 Bo Nix DEN · ADP 120.9
- QB17 Baker Mayfield TB · ADP 129.2
137-144 ADP pocket after another sizable gap; low-cost options with starter jobs but higher variance and thinner margins.
- QB18 Tyler Shough NO · ADP 137.9
- QB19 Sam Darnold SEA · ADP 142.0
- QB20 Kyler Murray MIN · ADP 142.8
- QB21 Jordan Love GB · ADP 144.4
13-point gap then tight 157-162 grouping; back-end options or temporary starters useful mainly in superflex or as handcuffs.
- QB22 C.J. Stroud HOU · ADP 157.5
- QB23 Malik Willis MIA · ADP 161.9
- QB24 Daniel Jones IND · ADP 161.9
Final 167-175 ADP range with minimal separation; low-floor depth pieces, rookies, or injury replacements drafted only in deep formats.
- QB25 Jacoby Brissett ARI · ADP 166.8
- QB26 Fernando Mendoza LV · ADP 167.6
- QB27 Bryce Young CAR · ADP 169.9
- QB28 Cam Ward TEN · ADP 175.5
Clear ADP separation (only TEs under 40) with no meaningful gap between them; both are young high-workload anchors in pass-heavy offenses, creating a distinct top tier before a 20-point ADP cliff.
- TE1 Trey McBride ARI · ADP 34.7
- TE2 Brock Bowers LV · ADP 39.7
Tight ADP cluster (60-66) after the big gap from the elites; both are first-year players drafted as immediate starters, separated from the next group by a 13-point jump that signals a drop in expected role certainty.
- TE3 Colston Loveland CHI · ADP 60.0
- TE4 Tyler Warren IND · ADP 65.8
Compact ADP band (78-86) of proven or high-volume targets; small internal gaps keep them together while the subsequent 8-point rise to Kelce and larger later cliffs mark the end of reliable every-week starters.
- TE5 Harold Fannin CLE · ADP 78.6
- TE6 Kyle Pitts ATL · ADP 79.8
- TE7 Sam LaPorta DET · ADP 86.3
Standalone ADP at 94.5 after the mid-tier cluster and before an 18-point gap; still viewed as a high-floor target hog despite age, justifying his own tier ahead of the injury-flagged group.
- TE8 Travis Kelce KC · ADP 94.5
Nearly identical ADPs (112-114) form a clear pocket; includes Questionable and PUP designations that introduce shared risk, creating a natural break before the next 20-point ADP drop.
- TE9 Tucker Kraft Questionable GB · ADP 112.5
- TE10 Dallas Goedert PHI · ADP 112.9
- TE11 George Kittle PUP SF · ADP 113.6
Tight grouping (134-141) after the large gap from the prior tier; established veterans with defined roles but lower ceilings, separated from deeper options by the next ADP climb past 148.
- TE12 Jake Ferguson DAL · ADP 134.1
- TE13 Mark Andrews BAL · ADP 137.2
- TE14 Isaiah Likely NYG · ADP 140.6
ADP continuum from 148-159 with modest gaps; mix of young pass-catchers and veterans offering weekly flex value, before the final cluster of pure late-round fliers begins around 161.
- TE15 Dalton Kincaid BUF · ADP 148.3
- TE16 Brenton Strange JAX · ADP 152.7
- TE17 Hunter Henry NE · ADP 155.4
- TE18 T.J. Hockenson MIN · ADP 158.8
Final ADP pack (161-174) with tiny internal spreads; low-investment lottery tickets and backups where positional scarcity still justifies a stash but expected workload is minimal or unproven.
- TE19 Kenyon Sadiq NYJ · ADP 161.3
- TE20 Juwan Johnson NO · ADP 161.7
- TE21 Chig Okonkwo WAS · ADP 163.1
- TE22 Oronde Gadsden LAC · ADP 167.5
- TE23 Dalton Schultz HOU · ADP 171.6
- TE24 Greg Dulcich MIA · ADP 174.1
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